Learning about statistics

Talking about sex is complicated, and getting to the truth matters.

When exploring Natsal statistics, there are some important things to remember: 

  1. People report their own experiences and may not always remember or answer accurately.  

  1. The findings are based on a sample, not every person in Britain.  

  1. Smaller samples produce less precise estimates than larger groups. 

Let’s dig into this a little deeper.  

So... how many sexual partners? 

It’s important to remember that the data in Natsal are what participants have reported, however, for various reasons the truth isn’t always what’s reported. 

Some people may have problems remembering something exactly, for example, the number of sexual partners they have had. Instead, they might provide their best guess. This is seen in Natsal data, with more people reporting numbers of partners ending in 0 or 5 than other numbers.  

Some people may deliberately choose to ‘revise’ their response to make it sound better, or more in line with their perception of societal attitudes. For example, historically, men were more likely to ‘round up’ their number of sexual partners while women were more likely to ‘round down’ this number. For these reasons, it’s important to describe data from surveys like Natsal as ‘reported data’. 

Representativeness and reliability 

It’s also important to remember that surveys can only capture a sample (or subset) of the whole population it is interested in. For researchers to make valid conclusions about a population, it is important their sample is representative i.e. it reflects the characteristics of the wider population. Natsal is designed to ensure that the data collected is as representative as possible of the general population.  

The number of participants (sample size) is also important. In general, the larger the sample the more reliable it is at painting a picture of the population it aims to represent. It is therefore important to consider the number of people upon which the statistics are based.  

When the number of people the statistic is based on is very small (for example, less than 30 people), the statistic is unlikely to be very reliable. For these reasons, you may find that when using the filters in the Sex Stats for Britain data tool it does not provide results for some combinations of characteristics because the group of people it is based on is too small. In these cases, you may want to consider using fewer filters. 

Oversampling, why and how this is done

Some groups in society experience a disproportionate burden of poor sexual and reproductive health. It is important that policies and practices addressing these inequalities are based on a reliable evidence base.  

Natsal sometimes deliberately recruits larger numbers of people from particular groups. This is known as oversampling. It helps ensure there are enough participants in those groups to produce accurate estimates. Natsal-4 oversampled young people and people from six key ethnic minority groups.  

What about the people who didn’t take part in Natsal?

Not everyone who was invited to take part in Natsal agreed to do so. If some groups are less likely to take part than others, they will be under-represented in the survey and other groups will be over-represented. To help address this, Natsal uses a technique called ‘weighting’ to ensure that the statistics produced accurately reflect the overall population.  

However, while we can use the ‘weighting’ technique, there is little that can be done to compensate for the fact that those who don’t take part in the survey may be different from those who do in unknown ways. 

This is why Natsal interviewers work so hard to explain with would-be participants the importance of taking part regardless of their sexual experience, so that Natsal represents people from all walks of life. 

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Some important things to know about statistics

Frequently asked questions (FAQs)

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